• 0 Posts
  • 7 Comments
Joined 1 year ago
cake
Cake day: February 2nd, 2025

help-circle
  • dehyzer@piefed.socialtomemes@lemmy.worldSomeone's cutting onions
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    5
    arrow-down
    1
    ·
    2 hours ago

    what are the chances that being an astronaut is actually safer than driving an hour long commute?

    A trip to space is actually about 100,000 times more likely to lead to a fatality than a 20 mile car trip.

    People really underestimate how dangerous space travel is.

    (The math is in another comment below if you’re curious.)



  • Are you asking to change the definition of a car trip to the ~500,000 miles it takes to get to the moon and back?

    In that case, rate of fatality is around 1 in 200 “driving to the moon and back” trips. 0.5% chance. So taking the rocketship is still significantly more dangerous.

    More realistically, 500,000 miles is roughly a lifetime of driving. So these astronauts are being exposed in a single trip to a fatality risk equivalent of 2+ lifetimes of driving.


  • dehyzer@piefed.socialtomemes@lemmy.worldSomeone's cutting onions
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    7
    ·
    edit-2
    11 hours ago

    Or to look at it from a different angle, 5 out of the 413 total manned space flights have ended in fatalities, or 1.21%.

    Auto travel in the US has a fatality rate around 1 death per 100 million driven miles. Assuming an average trip of 20 miles, that’s 1 death per 5 million car trips, or 0.00002%.

    So, roughly 10,000 (EDIT: actually 100,000, missed a zero!) times more dangerous than driving.