For the back half of the 20th century (what Fortune founder Henry Luce called “The American Century”), MBA and law degree programs were a ticket to a great office job and a path to the American Dream. The 21st century is asking the question: What happens when all those office jobs get automated?..
With the things trending the way they are it will be more expensive than one by then too.
so thats when the bubble will pop.
Oh it’s like fusion. AGI in 18 months, and in 18 months it’ll be another 18 months, and in another 18 months it’ll be yet another 18 months, and in 50 years it’ll be in 18 months.
By some of the original estimates we’re supposed to all be dead due to a nuclear war genetically engineered virus released by an AI by now. But nope, were all still here, the lying bastards.
Or else Microsoft will fold?
That’d be nice
tell him to automate these nuts
Put it on polymarket or something, I want to make some money off of such stupidity.
The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent. That’s never been more true than now. I think the US bailing out the rich in the last two recessions have perverted the normal risk reward calculations.
Just another trillion dollars guys! Just another year and a half! I swear!
Remember 18 months ago when all programmers and software engineers were going to be replaced… Still waiting…
Translation: Dear investors, please keep supplying truck-loads of money for us to burn!
You’ll get it all back and so much more! We promise, in 18 months!I can’t imagine saying anything so wildly ignorant in my professional career. He should be fired for publicly saying something that makes Microsoft sound like they have no idea what is going on in the real world.
He has just given himself an eighteen month deadline to succeed or lose his own job. At least, that’s how I’d interpret it if I was in a position to fire his ass.
Actually, I’d interpret it as him losing his job in 18 months regardless of whether he succeeds or fails, since management is a white-collar job.
Executives would be the perfect jobs to automate really, there is little they do that computers couldn’t, and they are such high value positions nowadays.
I would just fire him now for being obviously incompetent. How can someone competent make such an unrealistic prediction?
If you work for a large enough organisation it’s almost impossible to get fired. Microsoft like most organisations almost certainly operate on the PIN system, or something equivalent.
Basically to get fired you have to get yelled at by your manager, then have a documented yelling at from HR, then get another documented yelling at from HR, then get put on report, then fail to improve, and then you’re fired. Each stage has like a 2-month cooldown before the next step.
Start to finish the whole process can take over a year. Most people quit out of boredom before it gets that far. If you are not literally the most incompetent employee in the department you’re probably safe.
Blowing their load already I see. AI can’t even automate individual tasks I do, it’s not going to do removed to my job in 2 years
and they often hallucinate anyways too.
Oh cool so that means Star Citizen will be finished by then, right? AI should be able to build an even better version from scratch in a few hours, surely
So 18 months still before the bubble bursts?
Given Macroslops recent track record with updates I find it more likely that all Win 11 PCs will be bricked within 18 months…
win 11 doesnt seem like it can survive even 6 months.
And then white collar employees will be out of jobs, because they couldn’t do their jobs without a computer. Maybe that’s what he meant.
and it will create a cascading effect, no new graduates into the industry since they would be discouraged from the field altogether or even enroll in a college.
